▶Learn · Free
Learn the market.
Free, in order. Then put it to work on the Terminal.
1Part 1 · 9 articles
FoundationZero to grounded in nine articles: what a position is, how to read a line, and how the fee works inside every price.
2Part 2 · 12 articles
Trader's PathFrom reading the market to running a process: expected value, closing-line value, Kelly sizing and variance.
3Part 3 · 10 articles
The BookmakerHow a sportsbook prices a line, moves it, and where the number runs soft.
4Part 4 · 11 articles
Prediction MarketsEvent contracts and exchanges: the markets outside the sportsbook.
The biggest market in US sports, read like one.
Pace, possessions and schedule density.
Goaltending first. Empty nets reshape the math.
Less efficient than the NFL. More room for the work.
Pace variance, conferences, and March.
The cleanest market in major US sports.
A different framework. The draw is a primary outcome.
Convert American, decimal and fractional prices; see the probability and the fee on a two-sided market.
The expected value of a position from the price offered and your fair probability.
Full and fractional Kelly sizes from your edge and your bankroll.
What -110 costs over a season, and what -105 saves across thousands of positions.