▶PendingMLB · TOR @ SD4:10 PM ET
San Diego Team Total Over
-123WB2 · 61
Kevin Gausman takes the mound for Toronto with a four thirty-two ERA, and a one-run and three-run game last week against this same staff have the public hesitating on San Diego's team total over three point five. But San Diego averages four point oh five runs per game over twenty games at home, putting the three point five bar below their baseline, and Gausman at four thirty-two gives up around four runs per nine innings. WagerBird takes the San Diego team total over three point five at minus one twenty-three, a CONF reed rated sixty-one, with the full board in the Terminal.
▶PendingMLB · HOU @ TEX2:35 PM ET
Houston Team Total Under
+107WB2 · 63
Houston scored nine runs at Texas yesterday and eleven at Washington last Sunday, making the over at three point five look obvious with the Astros averaging six point two over the last five games. But Houston's twenty-game median output is three runs — the eleven, the ten, and the nine are outliers that inflate the mean to four point five five, not the typical game. WagerBird takes Houston team total under three point five at plus one oh seven, a CONF reed rated sixty-three, with the full board in the Terminal.