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Pittsburgh Pirates Run Trend

PITPittsburgh Piratesvs Detroit Tigers6:05 PM CT
HEATING UP
WagerBird Volatility Index™HIGHPittsburgh Pirates offenseProprietary predictability read
Bookmaker psychology

PIT are heating up — but that's the trap.

The market sees this run too. Books have already shaded the line up, so the obvious "take the over" is often exactly where they want you. The edge isn't the trend — it's knowing whether the move is real or already overpriced. And with volatility HIGH, single games swing wildly — exactly when chasing the trend burns you.

The Terminal prices that gap. The chart doesn't.

Team total (Full game)3.5tonight’s posted line
Recent form MA(5)6.20last 5 games
Baseline MA(20)4.0020-game average
Season mean5.02126 games · 017
WagerBird Volatility Index™HIGHpredictability read
Mar 26Aug 16 · 126 GP
Hot zone (top quartile) WagerTrend™ band Cold zone (bottom quartile) Posted line

Form history

current: HEATING UP

MA(5)=6.20 vs MA(20)=4.00 · spread +2.20 · MA(5) slope +0.56 runs/game

Team is heating up — scoring above the longer-term baseline and trending upward (uptrend). Recent games are consistently above the 20-game average and the short-term MA is sloping up. The market may already have adjusted to this trend, but the magnitude of adjustment is the question — compare tonight's posted line to the MA(5) to gauge whether the line fully accounts for recent form.

Pittsburgh Pirates run-trend analysis

Over their last 126 games, the Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 5.02 runs per game on average (median 4.5), with full-game run totals ranging from 0 to 17.

WagerTrend currently reads the Pittsburgh Pirates' run production as heating up: the 5-game scoring average (6.20 runs) has pulled 2.20 above the 20-game baseline (4.00), a sign the offense is producing more than its longer-term norm. The current read has held for 7 game-days since the last moving-average crossover.

Across their last 5 games the Pittsburgh Pirates posted full-game run totals of 2 @ MIA, 13 @ MIA, 8 vs BOS, 0 vs BOS, 8 vs BOS.

The chart above plots each game's run total against a 5- and 20-game moving-average envelope. When the shorter average pulls above the longer one, run production is heating up; when it slips below, it is cooling off. This is a descriptive read of past results, not a prediction or a betting recommendation — WagerBird's recommended positions live in the Terminal.

OPEN THE TERMINAL TONIGHT’S HOTSHEET ALL 30 TEAM TRENDS