Skip to main content

Philadelphia Phillies Run Trend

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies@ Kansas City Royals7:10 PM CT
STEADY
WagerBird Volatility Index™HIGHPhiladelphia Phillies offenseProprietary predictability read
Bookmaker psychology

PHI are steady — so the trend isn't the edge tonight.

When production is range-bound, the chart won't hand you a pick. Tonight's value (if any) lives in the matchup and the number, not the recent run. And with volatility HIGH, single games swing wildly — exactly when chasing the trend burns you.

The Terminal weighs both. That's the difference.

Team total (Full game)4.5tonight’s posted line
Recent form MA(5)6.20last 5 games
Baseline MA(20)5.9020-game average
Season mean4.4888 games · 015
WagerBird Volatility Index™HIGHpredictability read
Mar 26Jul 2 · 88 GP
Hot zone (top quartile) WagerTrend™ band Cold zone (bottom quartile) Posted line

Form history

current: STEADY

MA(5)=6.20 ± MA(20)=5.90 · spread +0.30 (within ±0.5 threshold)

Team scoring is steady — mean-reverting around the longer-term baseline (range bound). The MA(5) and MA(20) are within ±0.5 runs of each other, suggesting no meaningful trend in either direction. Trend signal is neutral; matchup-specific factors (opposing pitcher, venue, weather) are likely more informative than recent scoring trends.

Philadelphia Phillies run-trend analysis

Over their last 88 games, the Philadelphia Phillies have scored 4.48 runs per game on average (median 4), with full-game run totals ranging from 0 to 15.

WagerTrend currently classifies the Philadelphia Phillies' run production as range-bound — the model is not flagging a sustained move up or down right now. For reference, their latest 5-game scoring average is 6.20 runs against a 20-game baseline of 5.90. The current read has held for 1 game-day since the last moving-average crossover.

Across their last 5 games the Philadelphia Phillies posted full-game run totals of 5 @ NYM, 7 vs PIT, 8 vs PIT, 10 vs PIT, 1 vs PIT.

The chart above plots each game's run total against a 5- and 20-game moving-average envelope. When the shorter average pulls above the longer one, run production is heating up; when it slips below, it is cooling off. This is a descriptive read of past results, not a prediction or a betting recommendation — WagerBird's recommended positions live in the Terminal.

OPEN THE TERMINAL TONIGHT’S HOTSHEET ALL 30 TEAM TRENDS