NHL · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: MON (+1.2% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the MON @ TOR moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 44 books
MON -110 (44 consensus books · 44 tracked)
Market Move
TOR 51.2% to 50.0% (1.2% implied probability toward MON)
Lane CLV record
NHL moneylines: 34 Beat / 1 Tied / 12 Lost (47 measured)

Why is the MON @ TOR moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.4% implied probability) toward MON across 13 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MON
Vig-free consensus -110 (52.4% across 44 books)
Best price: -115 at ProphetX
TOR
Vig-free consensus +110 (47.7% across 44 books)
Best price: +111 at ProphetX

MON @ TOR Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMONTORUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-120+100BetMGM
Caesars-121+103Caesars
DraftKings-122+102DraftKings
FanDuel-120+100FanDuel
Fanatics-120+100Fanatics
ProphetX-115+111ProphetX

Full market: 44 sportsbooks, consensus MON -110. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MON @ TOR Moneyline

The Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline opened at 51.2% implied probability for TOR on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 3:20 AM CT) and currently sits at 50.0% implied probability for TOR across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward MON. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:27 AM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MON by a median of 2.4% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline.

Across the 44 sportsbooks currently quoting the Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 44-book consensus prices MON at -110 (52.3% vig-free probability) and TOR at +110 (47.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MON -115 at ProphetX; TOR +111 at ProphetX.

In the NHL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 34 times, tied 1, and lost 12 season to date (47 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (34 Beat, 1 Tied, 12 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date341124773.9%
Last 30 days190123161.3%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/montreal-canadiens-at-toronto-maple-leafs-moneyline-2026-11-07-34202" title="Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/montreal-canadiens-at-toronto-maple-leafs-moneyline-2026-11-07-34202">MON @ TOR Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>