NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: TORPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

William Nylander (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: William Nylander Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:58 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

William Nylander Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), William Nylander's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (William Nylander)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 24	TOR @ EDM	2.5 (-102)	—	3	Over
Oct 26	TOR @ CGY	2.5 (-110)	0.0	4	Over
Oct 28	TOR @ SEA	2.5 (-120)	0.0	3	Over
Oct 31	TOR @ VAN	2.5 (-132)	0.0	2	Under
Nov 3	UTA @ TOR	2.5 (+108)	0.0	3	Over
Nov 7	MON @ TOR	2.5 (-102)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

William Nylander Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.5).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.5Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 2.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 3.0
Actual Output Delta: +0.5
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 24 · @ EDM	2.5	—	3	+0.5
Oct 26 · @ CGY	2.5	0.0	4	+1.5
Oct 28 · @ SEA	2.5	0.0	3	+0.5
Oct 31 · @ VAN	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Nov 3 · vs UTA	2.5	0.0	3	+0.5
Nov 7 · vs MON	2.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

William Nylander Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled William Nylander prop write-up.

William Nylander CLV Counts

1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 31	TOR @ VAN	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5 (-102) · FanDuel	2.5	2	Beat	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled William Nylander Prop Write-Ups

Oct 31 CT · TOR @ VAN · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Nylander's regular shooting workload and first-unit power-play role face an opponent allowing substantial shot volume.

Counter-Case: If Toronto's first power play funnels attempts through Matthews and Raddysh, Nylander can spend possessions distributing rather than shooting. Fewer clean zone entries or repeated Toronto penalties can leave him at two shots despite normal ice time.

William Nylander WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 31	TOR @ VAN	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5	2.5	2	Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21