NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: TORPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Morgan Rielly (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Morgan Rielly Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), Morgan Rielly's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Morgan Rielly)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 24	TOR @ EDM	1.5 (+120)	—	0	Under
Oct 26	TOR @ CGY	1.5 (+125)	0.0	1	Under
Oct 28	TOR @ SEA	1.5 (+110)	0.0	0	Under
Oct 31	TOR @ VAN	1.5 (-118)	0.0	2	Over
Nov 3	UTA @ TOR	1.5 (+130)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 7	MON @ TOR	1.5 (+120)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Morgan Rielly Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.7).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.7Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 1.5
Current Posted Line: 1.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 0.8
Actual Output Delta: -0.7
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 24 · @ EDM	1.5	—	0	-1.5
Oct 26 · @ CGY	1.5	0.0	1	-0.5
Oct 28 · @ SEA	1.5	0.0	0	-1.5
Oct 31 · @ VAN	1.5	0.0	2	+0.5
Nov 3 · vs UTA	1.5	0.0	1	-0.5
Nov 7 · vs MON	1.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Morgan Rielly Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Morgan Rielly.

Morgan Rielly CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Morgan Rielly.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21