Adrian Kempe · Shots on Goal
- Pick & Line
- Over 2.5
- Fair Value
- 3.4 (-194)
- Book
- FanDuel (-150)
Kempe’s sustained shooting rate and first-unit power-play access support three shots without requiring another scoring outburst.
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
| Sportsbook | PIT | LA | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -102 | -120 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +102 | -122 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +109 | -110 | ProphetX |
Full market: 44 sportsbooks, consensus PIT +111. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings moneyline opened at 56.5% implied probability for LA on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 3:20 AM CT) and currently sits at 55.0% implied probability for LA across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward PIT. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 12:03 PM CT, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward PIT by a median of 1.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings moneyline.
Across the 44 sportsbooks currently quoting the Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 44-book consensus prices PIT at +111 (47.4% vig-free probability) and LA at -111 (52.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: PIT +109 at ProphetX; LA -110 at ProphetX.
In the NHL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 34 times, tied 1, and lost 12 season to date (47 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 34 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 73.9% |
| Last 30 days | 19 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 61.3% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/pittsburgh-penguins-at-los-angeles-kings-moneyline-2026-11-07-34207" title="Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/pittsburgh-penguins-at-los-angeles-kings-moneyline-2026-11-07-34207">PIT @ LA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Pittsburgh Penguins's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+16.1 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 19.3 vs. 3.3 Posted Team Total)
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0 | 57.0% | 19.3 | 3.3 (+138) | +16.1 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Rickard Rakell PIT · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 14.7% | 76.9%(+62.2% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Sidney Crosby PIT · Prev 2.5 (0.0) |
+16.1 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 19.3 vs. 3.3 Posted Team Total)
+15.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 18.7 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Los Angeles Kings's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+15.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 18.7 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)
| 2.5 |
| 5.5% |
| 76.9%(+71.4% vs Hist) |
| 0.0 |
| Steady Share |
#3 Kris Letang PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 8.3% | 46.2%(+37.9% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#4 Tommy Novak PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 10.1% | 46.2%(+36.1% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#5 Ben Kindel PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 9.2% | 46.2%(+37.0% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#6 Evgeni Malkin PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 9.2% | 46.2%(+37.0% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0 | 69.7% | 18.7 | 3.5 (+127) | +15.2 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Artemi Panarin LA · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 14.1% | 71.4%(+57.3% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Alex Laferriere LA · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 15.6% | 71.4%(+55.8% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#3 Adrian Kempe LA · Prev 3.5 (-1.0) | 2.5 | 16.3% | 71.4%(+55.1% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#4 Quinton Byfield LA · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 12.6% | 71.4%(+58.8% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Steady Share | |
#5 Brandt Clarke LA · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 3.0% | 42.9%(+39.9% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#6 Trevor Moore LA · Prev 2.5 (-1.0) | 1.5 | 8.1% | 42.9%(+34.8% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift |
Kempe’s sustained shooting rate and first-unit power-play access support three shots without requiring another scoring outburst.