NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: TORPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

John Tavares (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 3 to Nov 7), John Tavares's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.52.92.31.71.10.52.52.51.52.52.52.5Oct 3OTT @ TOROct 6NAS @ TOROct 8TOR @ VEGOct 13TOR @ UTAOct 15BUF @ TORNov 7MON @ TOR

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 3 to Nov 7), John Tavares's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (John Tavares)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
OTT @ TOR(Missed 1g)2.5 (+135)—3Over
NAS @ TOR2.5 (+128)0.06Over
TOR @ VEGReduced-Role Line1.5-1.00Under
TOR @ UTA2.5 (+144)+1.03Over
BUF @ TOR2.5 (+130)0.00Under
MON @ TOR2.5 (+130)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

John Tavares Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.1).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.1Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.6
Actual Output Delta
+0.1
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
John Tavares Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output801Sep 30vs NYI3Oct 3vs OTT6Oct 6vs NAS3Oct 13@ UTA0Oct 15vs BUFNov 7vs MON
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Sep 30 · vs NYI——1—
Oct 3 · vs OTT2.5—3+0.5
Oct 6 · vs NAS2.50.06+3.5
Oct 13 · @ UTA2.50.03+0.5
Oct 15 · vs BUF2.50.00-2.5
Nov 7 · vs MON2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

John Tavares Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for John Tavares.

John Tavares CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for John Tavares.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921