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NFL · SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Sun, Nov 8, 8:46 PM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 43 books
HOU -4.5 (30 consensus books · 43 tracked)
Market Move
CLE +4.5 to +4.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 11 · At close: 3 · Behind: 9 (23 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
HOU 66.8% · CLE 33.3%
Consensus Spread
CLE +4.5
Consensus Total
40.5
Market-Implied Score
HOU 22.5 – CLE 18

Market Brief: HOU @ CLE Spread

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns Spread: vig-free consensus stands at HOU -4.5 -101 / CLE +4.5 +101 across 30 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: HOU -4.5 -104 at ProphetX; CLE +4.5 +103 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (CLE +4.5) across 46 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the HOU @ CLE spread consensus line and best price per side?

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns Spread: vig-free consensus stands at HOU -4.5 -101 / CLE +4.5 +101 across 30 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: HOU -4.5 -104 at ProphetX; CLE +4.5 +103 at ProphetX.

How has the HOU @ CLE spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (CLE +4.5) across 46 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for HOU @ CLE spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the HOU @ CLE spread moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward CLE across 13 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

HOU
Vig-free consensus -4.5 -101 (50.3% across 30 books)
Best price: -4.5 -104 at ProphetX
CLE
Vig-free consensus +4.5 +101 (49.7% across 30 books)
Best price: +4.5 +103 at ProphetX

HOU @ CLE Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookHOUCLEExecution
BetMGM-4.5-110+4.5-108BetMGM
Caesars-4.5-114+4.5-106Caesars
DraftKings-4.5-110+4.5-110DraftKings
FanDuel-4.5-115+4.5-105FanDuel
Fanatics-4.5-110+4.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX-4.5-104+4.5+103ProphetX

Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus HOU -4.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: HOU @ CLE Spread

Across 43 tracked sportsbooks, the HOU @ CLE spread moved from an opening number of CLE +4.5 to CLE +4.5.

Best current licensed partner quotes: HOU -4.5 -104 at ProphetX; CLE +4.5 +103 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 2.0 pts across the market.

NFL Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 55.0% of moved lines ahead of close (11 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Oct 4–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date113923
Last 30 days92718

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 55% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/houston-texans-at-cleveland-browns-spread-2026-11-15-35143" title="Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/houston-texans-at-cleveland-browns-spread-2026-11-15-35143">HOU @ CLE Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>