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NFL · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 21 books
19.5 (17 consensus books · 21 tracked)
Market Move
19.5 to 19.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 17 · At close: 0 · Behind: 7 (24 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
HOU 66.8% · CLE 33.3%
Consensus Spread
CLE +4.5
Consensus Total
40.5
Market-Implied Score
HOU 22.5 – CLE 18

Market Brief: HOU @ CLE 1st Half Total

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 19.5 -113 / Under 19.5 +113 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 19.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 20.5 -140 at Fanatics.

The line is unchanged since open (19.5) across 22 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the HOU @ CLE 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 19.5 -113 / Under 19.5 +113 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 19.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 20.5 -140 at Fanatics.

How has the HOU @ CLE 1st half total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (19.5) across 22 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for HOU @ CLE 1st half total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the HOU @ CLE 1st Half Total moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward Over across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 19.5 -113 (53.1% across 17 books)
Best price: 19.5 -120 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 19.5 +113 (46.9% across 17 books)
Best price: 20.5 -140 at Fanatics

HOU @ CLE 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM19.5-12019.5+100BetMGM
Caesars19.5-12419.5+103Caesars
DraftKings19.5-12519.5+105DraftKings
FanDuel19.5-12019.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics20.5+10520.5-140Fanatics
ProphetX19.5-12619.5+112ProphetX

Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus 19.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: HOU @ CLE 1st Half Total

The Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns first-half total opened at 19.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 19.5 across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 1:50 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns first-half total.

At Thu, Nov 12, 11:22 AM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns first-half total.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices Over at 19.5 -113 (53.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 19.5 +113 (46.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 19.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 20.5 -140 at Fanatics.

In the NFL first-half game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 17 · At the close: 0 · Behind close: 7 (24 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 70.8% of moved lines ahead of close (17 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 7 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9

Release Record — NFL first-half game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 17-7, +31.3u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date170724
Last 30 days70310

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/houston-texans-at-cleveland-browns-1h-total-2026-11-15-35143" title="Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/houston-texans-at-cleveland-browns-1h-total-2026-11-15-35143">HOU @ CLE 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>