Why is the GB @ NE total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 45 books
- 44.5 (43 consensus books · 45 tracked)
- Market Move
- 47.5 to 44.5 (3.0 pts toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL game totals: 13 Beat / 1 Tied / 4 Lost (18 measured)
Why is the GB @ NE total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
GB @ NE Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 44.5-110 | 44.5-108 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 44.5-112 | 44.5-109 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 44.5-115 | 44.5-105 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 44.5-110 | 44.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 44.5-110 | 44.5-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | 44.5-103 | 44.5+101 | ProphetX |
Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus 44.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: GB @ NE Total
The Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots total opened at 47.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 44.5 across 47 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 6:40 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 5:30 PM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots total.
Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 43-book consensus prices Over at 44.5 -100 (50.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 44.5 +100 (49.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 44.5 -103 at ProphetX; Under 44.5 +101 at ProphetX.
In the NFL game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 13 times, tied 1, and lost 4 season to date (18 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (13 Beat, 1 Tied, 4 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 13 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 76.5% |
| Last 30 days | 12 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 80.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-total-2026-11-08-34264" title="Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-total-2026-11-08-34264">GB @ NE Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>