Why is the GB @ NE 1st Quarter Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- 7.5 (19 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- 9.5 to 7.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL first-quarter game totals: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the GB @ NE 1st Quarter Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
GB @ NE 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5-105 | 7.5-115 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 7.5-107 | 7.5-115 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 7.5-102 | 7.5-118 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 7.5-108 | 7.5-114 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 7.5-105 | 7.5-125 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | 7.5-111 | 7.5-117 | ProphetX |
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus 7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: GB @ NE 1st Quarter Total
The Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-quarter total opened at 9.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:15 PM CT) and currently sits at 7.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 7:13 PM CT.
As of Sat, Nov 7, 5:44 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.7% toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices Over at 7.5 +104 (49.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 7.5 -104 (50.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 7.5 -102 at DraftKings; Under 7.5 -114 at FanDuel.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NFL first-quarter game totals release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
NFL First-Quarter Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-1q-total-2026-11-08-34264" title="Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-1q-total-2026-11-08-34264">GB @ NE 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>