Why is the TB @ CHI 1st Quarter Spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 22 books
- TB +1.5 (12 consensus books · 22 tracked)
- Market Move
- CHI -1.5 to -1.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL first-quarter spreads: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the TB @ CHI 1st Quarter Spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward TB across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TB @ CHI 1st Quarter Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | TB | CHI | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +0.5-108 | -0.5-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +1.5-109 | -1.5-113 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +1.5-112 | -1.5-108 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +1.5-128 | -1.5+104 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +2.5-110 | -2.5-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +1.5-132 | -1.5+101 | ProphetX |
Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus TB +1.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TB @ CHI 1st Quarter Spread
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears first-quarter spread opened at CHI -1.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 10:31 PM CT) and currently sits at CHI -1.5 across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 7:20 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 5:43 PM CT.
As of Sat, Nov 7, 4:17 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.7% toward TB across 4 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 22 sportsbooks currently quoting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears first-quarter spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices TB at +1.5 -107 (51.7% vig-free probability) and CHI at -1.5 +107 (48.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TB +2.5 -110 at Fanatics; CHI -0.5 -110 at BetMGM.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NFL first-quarter spreads release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
NFL First-Quarter Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (1st Quarter Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-chicago-bears-1q-spread-2026-11-08-34422" title="Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-chicago-bears-1q-spread-2026-11-08-34422">TB @ CHI 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>