Why is the BUF @ MIN 1st Quarter Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- 7.5 (19 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- 9.5 to 7.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL first-quarter game totals: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the BUF @ MIN 1st Quarter Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUF @ MIN 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5-105 | 7.5-115 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 7.5-104 | 7.5-118 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 7.5-110 | 7.5-110 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 7.5-104 | 7.5-116 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 7.5-110 | 7.5-120 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | 7.5-108 | 7.5-121 | ProphetX |
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus 7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ MIN 1st Quarter Total
The Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings first-quarter total opened at 9.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 7.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 7:15 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 7:28 PM CT.
As of Sat, Nov 7, 4:07 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.7% toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices Over at 7.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 7.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 7.5 -104 at Caesars; Under 7.5 -110 at DraftKings.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NFL first-quarter game totals release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
NFL First-Quarter Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-minnesota-vikings-1q-total-2026-11-09-34265" title="Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-minnesota-vikings-1q-total-2026-11-09-34265">BUF @ MIN 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>