NBA · Away Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CTMarket Move: Over 104.5 → 105.5 (+1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the WAS @ OKC Away Team Total moving?

Name: Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Washington Wizards team total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T17:02:36.757Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 11:02 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 1:25 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 16 books: 105.5 (9 consensus books · 16 tracked)
Market Move: 104.5 to 105.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane CLV record: NBA team totals: 11 Beat / 1 Tied / 3 Lost (15 measured)

Why is the WAS @ OKC Away Team Total moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 7:27 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 12 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 105.5 +103 (49.3% across 9 books)

Best price: 98.5 -340 at Fanatics

Under

Vig-free consensus 105.5 -103 (50.7% across 9 books)

Best price: 105.5 -114 at FanDuel

WAS @ OKC Away Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	105.5-105	105.5-120	Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	104.5-120	104.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:08 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	105.5-105	105.5-115	Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	105.5-106	105.5-114	Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	98.5-340	98.5+235	Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT	Fanatics

Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus 105.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC Away Team Total

The Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Washington Wizards team total opened at 104.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 105.5 across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:27 AM CT, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Washington Wizards team total.

Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Washington Wizards team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 9.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 105.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 105.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 98.5 -340 at Fanatics; Under 105.5 -114 at FanDuel.

In the NBA team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 11 times, tied 1, and lost 3 season to date (15 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	11	1	3	15	78.6%
Last 30 days	11	1	3	15	78.6%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder (Away Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-away-team-total-2026-11-07-34194" title="Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-away-team-total-2026-11-07-34194">WAS @ OKC Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ OKC · Points

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Washington Wizards's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

WAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+10.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 114.6 vs. 104.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
90.0	78.5%	114.6	104.5 (-118)	+10.1

Compare WAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 104.5 (O -118)DraftKings 104.5 (O -118)BetMGM 104.5 (O -120)Caesars 104.5 (O -120)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Anthony Davis WAS · Prev 22.5 (-3.0)	19.5	19.6%	18.7%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-2.0		Team Tide Shift
#2 Trae Young WAS · Prev 21.5 (-3.0)

Washington Wizards (WAS)Team Tide Shift

+10.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 114.6 vs. 104.5 Posted Team Total)

Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC)Team Tide Shift

-11.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.8 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Washington Wizards team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ OKC · Points

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Oklahoma City Thunder's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

OKC Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-11.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.8 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC · Prev 31.5 (0.0)	31.5	28.1%	26.8%(-1.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#2 Ajay Mitchell OKC · Prev 19.5 (0.0)	19.5	21.6%	16.6%(-5.0% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#3 Jared McCain OKC · Prev 12.5 (+1.0)	13.5	11.3%	11.5%(+0.2% vs Hist)	-3.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	6.8%	7.2%(+0.4% vs Hist)	-2.0	Usage Transfer
#5 Bennett Stirtz OKC · Prev 6.5 (+2.0)	8.5	9.5%	7.2%(-2.3% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Aday Mara OKC · Prev 7.5 (+1.0)	8.5	7.8%	7.2%(-0.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the WAS @ OKC Away Team Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WAS @ OKC Away Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC Away Team Total

NBA Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)