Why is the NOP @ GSW 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 20 books
- NOP +197 (20 consensus books · 20 tracked)
- Market Move
- GSW 66.1% to 69.5% (3.4% implied probability toward GSW)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA first-quarter moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the NOP @ GSW 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward GSW across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NOP @ GSW 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | NOP | GSW | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +185 | -225 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +185 | -230 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +180 | -218 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +198 | -250 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +180 | -245 | Fanatics |
Full market: 20 sportsbooks, consensus NOP +197. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: NOP @ GSW 1st Quarter Moneyline
The New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors first-quarter moneyline opened at 66.1% implied probability for GSW on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:55 PM CT) and currently sits at 69.5% implied probability for GSW across 20 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward GSW. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 6:56 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 3:06 PM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward GSW by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors first-quarter moneyline.
Across the 20 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 20-book consensus prices NOP at +197 (33.6% vig-free probability) and GSW at -197 (66.4% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NOP +198 at FanDuel; GSW -218 at DraftKings.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-quarter moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
NBA First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34493" title="New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34493">NOP @ GSW 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>