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CFB · 1st Half MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: BYU (+1.8% implied prob)

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 19 books
BAY +218 (19 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move
BYU 70.4% to 72.2% (1.8% implied probability toward BYU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
BAY 26.9% · BYU 73.1%
Consensus Spread
BYU -8.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
BAY 21 – BYU 29.5

Market Brief: BAY @ BYU 1st Half Moneyline

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at BAY +218 / BYU -218 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:38 AM ET). Best price per side: BAY +220 at ProphetX; BYU -235 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 70.4% to 72.2% toward BYU (1.8% implied probability) across 19 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the BAY @ BYU 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at BAY +218 / BYU -218 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:38 AM ET). Best price per side: BAY +220 at ProphetX; BYU -235 at BetMGM.

How has the BAY @ BYU 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 70.4% to 72.2% toward BYU (1.8% implied probability) across 19 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for BAY @ BYU 1st half moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the BAY @ BYU 1st Half Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward BAY across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward BYU across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

BAY
Vig-free consensus +218 (31.4% across 19 books)
Best price: +220 at ProphetX
BYU
Vig-free consensus -218 (68.6% across 19 books)
Best price: -235 at BetMGM

BAY @ BYU 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookBAYBYUExecution
BetMGM+200-235BetMGM
Caesars+205-260Caesars
DraftKings+195-238DraftKings
FanDuel+200-260FanDuel
Fanatics+210-285Fanatics
ProphetX+220-240ProphetX

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus BAY +218. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: BAY @ BYU 1st Half Moneyline

The Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half moneyline opened at 70.4% implied probability for BYU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 12:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 72.2% implied probability for BYU across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.8% implied probability, with net market movement toward BYU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:38 AM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 10:31 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BAY by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half moneyline.

At Fri, Nov 13, 8:25 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BYU by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half moneyline.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices BAY at +218 (31.4% vig-free probability) and BYU at -218 (68.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BAY +220 at ProphetX; BYU -235 at BetMGM.

In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1102
Last 30 days0000

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/baylor-bears-at-byu-cougars-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27494" title="Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/baylor-bears-at-byu-cougars-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27494">BAY @ BYU 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>