Why is the BUFF @ BALL 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 17 books
- BUFF -121 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
- Market Move
- BALL 48.1% to 48.1% (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB first-quarter moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the BUFF @ BALL 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward BUFF across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUFF @ BALL 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | BUFF | BALL | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +105 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -145 | +113 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -160 | +124 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -120 | +102 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -145 | +110 | Fanatics |
Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus BUFF -121. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUFF @ BALL 1st Quarter Moneyline
The Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals first-quarter moneyline opened at 48.1% implied probability for BALL on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:15 AM CT) and currently sits at 48.1% implied probability for BALL across 17 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 1:43 PM CT.
At Tue, Nov 10, 11:15 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BUFF by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals first-quarter moneyline.
Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices BUFF at -121 (54.8% vig-free probability) and BALL at +121 (45.2% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUFF -120 at FanDuel; BALL +124 at DraftKings.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every CFB first-quarter moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
CFB First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/buffalo-bulls-at-ball-state-cardinals-1q-moneyline-2026-11-11-27470" title="Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/buffalo-bulls-at-ball-state-cardinals-1q-moneyline-2026-11-11-27470">BUFF @ BALL 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>