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CFB · SpreadFinal · Settled

Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd: spread closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus
MRSH -1 (opened MRSH +1.5)
Market Move
MRSH +1.5 to -1 (2.5 pts toward MRSH)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 86 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (152 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
APLST 82.4% · MRSH 17.6%
Consensus Spread
MRSH +3.5
Consensus Total
36.5
Market-Implied Score
APLST 20 – MRSH 16.5

Market Brief: APLST @ MRSH Spread

Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at MRSH -1 after opening at MRSH +1.5 (41 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB spreads): 58.5% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 68 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from MRSH +1.5 to MRSH -1 (2.5 pts) across 41 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: MRSH -1 (opened MRSH +1.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the APLST @ MRSH spread closing and opening consensus line?

Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at MRSH -1 after opening at MRSH +1.5 (41 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB spreads): 58.5% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 68 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14.

How did the APLST @ MRSH spread move from open to close?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from MRSH +1.5 to MRSH -1 (2.5 pts) across 41 sportsbooks.

What was the APLST @ MRSH spread release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: MRSH -1 (opened MRSH +1.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

APLST @ MRSH Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: MRSH -1 (opened MRSH +1.5).

Full market: 8 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

MRSH opened +1.5 and closed -1 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no spread release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 58.5% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 68 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date861155152
Last 30 days5743293

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/appalachian-state-mountaineers-at-marshall-thundering-herd-spread-2026-11-14-27526" title="Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/appalachian-state-mountaineers-at-marshall-thundering-herd-spread-2026-11-14-27526">APLST @ MRSH Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>