Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd: Home Team Total closing line and CLV
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Closing Consensus
- 27.5 (opened 26.5)
- Market Move
- 26.5 to 27.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- APLST 82.4% · MRSH 17.6%
- Consensus Spread
- MRSH +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 36.5
- Market-Implied Score
- APLST 20 – MRSH 16.5
Market Brief: APLST @ MRSH Home Team Total
Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 27.5 after opening at 26.5 (15 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB team totals): 61.4% of moved lines ahead of close (35 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 26.5 to 27.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 15 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 27.5 (opened 26.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.
What was the APLST @ MRSH home team total closing and opening consensus line?
Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 27.5 after opening at 26.5 (15 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB team totals): 61.4% of moved lines ahead of close (35 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14.
How did the APLST @ MRSH home team total move from open to close?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 26.5 to 27.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 15 sportsbooks.
What was the APLST @ MRSH home team total release result and closing consensus?
Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 27.5 (opened 26.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.
APLST @ MRSH Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 1 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus
The Home Team Total opened 26.5 and closed 27.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)
WAGERBIRD had no Home Team Total release on this game.
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.
CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 61.4% of moved lines ahead of close (35 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14
Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 14): 34-29, +12.5u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/appalachian-state-mountaineers-at-marshall-thundering-herd-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27526" title="Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/appalachian-state-mountaineers-at-marshall-thundering-herd-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27526">APLST @ MRSH Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>