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CFB · SpreadFinal · Settled

New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State Bears: spread closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus
MOST -1 (opened MOST -1.5)
Market Move
MOST -1.5 to -1 (0.5 pts toward NMSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 86 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (152 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
NMSU 44.7% · MOST 55.3%
Consensus Spread
MOST +1.5
Consensus Total
49.5
Market-Implied Score
NMSU 25.5 – MOST 24

Market Brief: NMSU @ MOST Spread

New Mexico State Aggies @ Missouri State Bears Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at MOST -1 after opening at MOST -1.5 (39 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB spreads): 58.5% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 68 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from NMSU +1.5 to NMSU +1 (0.5 pts) across 39 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: MOST -1 (opened MOST -1.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the NMSU @ MOST spread closing and opening consensus line?

New Mexico State Aggies @ Missouri State Bears Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at MOST -1 after opening at MOST -1.5 (39 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CFB spreads): 58.5% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 68 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14.

How did the NMSU @ MOST spread move from open to close?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from NMSU +1.5 to NMSU +1 (0.5 pts) across 39 sportsbooks.

What was the NMSU @ MOST spread release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: MOST -1 (opened MOST -1.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

NMSU @ MOST Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: MOST -1 (opened MOST -1.5).

Full market: 10 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

MOST opened -1.5 and closed -1 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no spread release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 58.5% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 68 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 14

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date861155152
Last 30 days5743293

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State Bears (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/new-mexico-state-aggies-at-missouri-state-bears-spread-2026-11-14-34228" title="New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State Bears Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/new-mexico-state-aggies-at-missouri-state-bears-spread-2026-11-14-34228">NMSU @ MOST Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>