Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 16 books
- APLST -108 (16 consensus books · 16 tracked)
- Market Move
- MRSH 48.8% to 51.1% (2.3% implied probability toward MRSH)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- APLST 52.4% · MRSH 47.6%
- Consensus Spread
- MRSH +1.5
- Consensus Total
- 53.5
- Market-Implied Score
- APLST 27.5 – MRSH 26
Market Brief: APLST @ MRSH 1st Half Moneyline
Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at APLST -108 / MRSH +108 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET). Best price per side: APLST -112 at BetMGM; MRSH +100 at Caesars.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 48.8% to 51.1% toward MRSH (2.3% implied probability) across 16 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).
What is the APLST @ MRSH 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Marshall Thundering Herd 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at APLST -108 / MRSH +108 across 16 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET). Best price per side: APLST -112 at BetMGM; MRSH +100 at Caesars.
How has the APLST @ MRSH 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 48.8% to 51.1% toward MRSH (2.3% implied probability) across 16 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for APLST @ MRSH 1st half moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).
Why is the APLST @ MRSH 1st Half Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward MRSH across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
APLST @ MRSH 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus APLST -108. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: APLST @ MRSH 1st Half Moneyline
The Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd first-half moneyline opened at 48.8% implied probability for MRSH on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 51.1% implied probability for MRSH across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.3% implied probability, with net market movement toward MRSH. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 12:15 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MRSH by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd first-half moneyline.
Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices APLST at -108 (51.9% vig-free probability) and MRSH at +108 (48.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: APLST -112 at BetMGM; MRSH +100 at Caesars.
In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/appalachian-state-mountaineers-at-marshall-thundering-herd-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27526" title="Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/appalachian-state-mountaineers-at-marshall-thundering-herd-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27526">APLST @ MRSH 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>