Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 17 books
- XAV -146 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
- Market Move
- MSST 47.1% to 43.1% (4.0% implied probability toward XAV)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 3 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- XAV 59.3% · MSST 40.7%
- Consensus Spread
- MSST +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 164.5
- Market-Implied Score
- XAV 84 – MSST 80.5
Market Brief: XAV @ MSST Moneyline
Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at XAV -146 / MSST +146 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: XAV -162 at FanDuel; MSST +145 at DraftKings.
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 2:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 47.1% to 43.1% toward XAV (4.0% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
What is the XAV @ MSST moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at XAV -146 / MSST +146 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: XAV -162 at FanDuel; MSST +145 at DraftKings.
How has the XAV @ MSST moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 2:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 47.1% to 43.1% toward XAV (4.0% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for XAV @ MSST moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).
Why is the XAV @ MSST moneyline moving?
- Best available partner price toward XAV: Fanatics (-120).
- Market consensus updated (4.5% implied probability) toward XAV across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market consensus updated (5.6% implied probability) toward XAV across 10 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
XAV @ MSST Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus XAV -146. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: XAV @ MSST Moneyline
The Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline opened at 47.1% implied probability for MSST on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 2:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 43.1% implied probability for MSST across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 4.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward XAV. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.
As of Thu, Nov 12, 2:45 PM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price XAV across 4 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at Fanatics (-120).
At Thu, Nov 12, 4:29 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward XAV by a median of 4.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline.
As of Thu, Nov 12, 5:15 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.6% toward XAV across 10 tracked sportsbooks. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices XAV at -146 (59.3% vig-free probability) and MSST at +146 (40.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: XAV -162 at FanDuel; MSST +145 at DraftKings.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 3 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (9 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-moneyline-2026-11-13-34894" title="Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-moneyline-2026-11-13-34894">XAV @ MSST Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>