ENES
CBB · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 78.5 → 77.5 (-1.0 pts)

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
77.5 (12 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
78.5 to 77.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 24 · At close: 2 · Behind: 18 (44 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
XAV 61.1% · MSST 38.9%
Consensus Spread
MSST +3.5
Consensus Total
162.5
Market-Implied Score
XAV 83 – MSST 79.5

Market Brief: XAV @ MSST 1st Half Total

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 77.5 +105 / Under 77.5 -105 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 2:13 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 77.5 +103 at ProphetX; Under 77.5 -115 at Fanatics.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 3:00 PM ET), the line moved from 78.5 to 77.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the XAV @ MSST 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 77.5 +105 / Under 77.5 -105 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 2:13 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 77.5 +103 at ProphetX; Under 77.5 -115 at Fanatics.

How has the XAV @ MSST 1st half total moved from open to current?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 3:00 PM ET), the line moved from 78.5 to 77.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for XAV @ MSST 1st half total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: XAV @ MSST

Why is the XAV @ MSST 1st Half Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Best available partner price toward Under 77.5: Fanatics (-110).

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 77.5 +105 (48.8% across 12 books)
Best price: 77.5 +103 at ProphetX
Under
Vig-free consensus 77.5 -105 (51.3% across 12 books)
Best price: 77.5 -115 at Fanatics

XAV @ MSST 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM77.5-11077.5-120BetMGM
Caesars77.5-11077.5-120Caesars
DraftKings77.5-11077.5-120DraftKings
Fanatics77.5-10577.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX77.5+10377.5-131ProphetX

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus 77.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: XAV @ MSST 1st Half Total

The Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-half total opened at 78.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 3:00 PM ET) and currently sits at 77.5 across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 2:13 PM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 11:15 AM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-half total.

As of Fri, Nov 13, 12:53 PM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price Under at 77.5 across 5 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at Fanatics (-110).

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices Over at 77.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability) and Under at 77.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 77.5 +103 at ProphetX; Under 77.5 -115 at Fanatics.

In the CBB first-half game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 24 · At the close: 2 · Behind close: 18 (44 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (24 Ahead of close · 2 At the close · 18 Behind close) · Nov 1–Nov 12

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date2421844
Last 30 days2421844

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

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<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1h-total-2026-11-13-34894">XAV @ MSST 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>