ENES
CBB · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Over 164.8 → 165.5 (+0.7 pts)

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 34 books
165.5 (27 consensus books · 34 tracked)
Market Move
164.8 to 165.5 (0.8 pts toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 27 · At close: 35 · Behind: 35 (97 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
XAV 60.3% · MSST 39.7%
Consensus Spread
MSST +3.5
Consensus Total
165.5
Market-Implied Score
XAV 84.5 – MSST 81

Market Brief: XAV @ MSST Total

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 165.5 +102 / Under 165.5 -102 across 27 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 5:57 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 165.5 -103 at ProphetX; Under 165.5 -110 at Caesars.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 2:30 PM ET), the line moved from 164.8 to 165.5 toward Over (0.8 pts) across 34 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the XAV @ MSST total consensus line and best price per side?

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 165.5 +102 / Under 165.5 -102 across 27 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 5:57 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 165.5 -103 at ProphetX; Under 165.5 -110 at Caesars.

How has the XAV @ MSST total moved from open to current?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 2:30 PM ET), the line moved from 164.8 to 165.5 toward Over (0.8 pts) across 34 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for XAV @ MSST total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

Why is the XAV @ MSST total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 11 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 165.5 +102 (49.5% across 27 books)
Best price: 165.5 -103 at ProphetX
Under
Vig-free consensus 165.5 -102 (50.5% across 27 books)
Best price: 165.5 -110 at Caesars

XAV @ MSST Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM165.5-105165.5-115BetMGM
Caesars165.5-110165.5-110Caesars
DraftKings165.5-105165.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel165.5-110165.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics165.5-105165.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX165.5-103165.5-118ProphetX

Full market: 34 sportsbooks, consensus 165.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: XAV @ MSST Total

The Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs total opened at 164.8 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 2:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 165.5 across 34 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 5:57 AM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 9:29 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs total.

At Fri, Nov 13, 3:41 AM ET, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs total.

Across the 34 sportsbooks currently quoting the Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 27-book consensus prices Over at 165.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability) and Under at 165.5 -102 (50.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 165.5 -103 at ProphetX; Under 165.5 -110 at Caesars.

In the CBB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 27 · At the close: 35 · Behind close: 35 (97 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.6% of moved lines ahead of close (26 Ahead of close · 35 At the close · 35 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 12

Release Record — CBB game totals, last 14 days (Nov 2–Nov 12): 49-47, +7.1u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date27353597
Last 30 days27353597

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 44% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-total-2026-11-13-34894" title="Xavier Musketeers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/xavier-musketeers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-total-2026-11-13-34894">XAV @ MSST Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>