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CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 32 books
UMBC +10.5 (31 consensus books · 32 tracked)
Market Move
TOW -10.5 to -10.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 45 · At close: 37 · Behind: 60 (142 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
UMBC 18.7% · TOW 81.3%
Consensus Spread
TOW -10.5
Consensus Total
146.5
Market-Implied Score
UMBC 68 – TOW 78.5

Market Brief: UMBC @ TOW Spread

UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at UMBC +10.5 -103 / TOW -10.5 +103 across 31 consensus sportsbooks (32 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:03 AM ET). Best price per side: UMBC +10.5 -110 at Caesars; TOW -10.5 -102 at DraftKings.

The line is unchanged since open (TOW -10.5) across 32 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the UMBC @ TOW spread consensus line and best price per side?

UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at UMBC +10.5 -103 / TOW -10.5 +103 across 31 consensus sportsbooks (32 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:03 AM ET). Best price per side: UMBC +10.5 -110 at Caesars; TOW -10.5 -102 at DraftKings.

How has the UMBC @ TOW spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (TOW -10.5) across 32 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for UMBC @ TOW spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the UMBC @ TOW spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.5 pts toward TOW across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.5 pts toward TOW across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

UMBC
Vig-free consensus +10.5 -103 (50.7% across 31 books)
Best price: +10.5 -110 at Caesars
TOW
Vig-free consensus -10.5 +103 (49.3% across 31 books)
Best price: -10.5 -102 at DraftKings

UMBC @ TOW Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUMBCTOWExecution
BetMGM+10.5-115-10.5-105BetMGM
Caesars+10.5-110-10.5-110Caesars
DraftKings+10.5-118-10.5-102DraftKings
FanDuel+10.5-120-10.5-102FanDuel
Fanatics+10.5-110-10.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX+10.5-110-10.5-104ProphetX

Full market: 32 sportsbooks, consensus UMBC +10.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: UMBC @ TOW Spread

The UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers spread opened at TOW -10.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET) and currently sits at TOW -10.5 across 32 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:03 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 10:14 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TOW by a median of 1.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers spread.

As of Fri, Nov 13, 10:30 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.7% toward TOW across 6 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.5 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 32 sportsbooks currently quoting the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 31-book consensus prices UMBC at +10.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability) and TOW at -10.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: UMBC +10.5 -110 at Caesars; TOW -10.5 -102 at DraftKings.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 45 · At the close: 37 · Behind close: 60 (142 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 60 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date453760142
Last 30 days453760142

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/umbc-retrievers-at-towson-tigers-spread-2026-11-14-35632" title="UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/umbc-retrievers-at-towson-tigers-spread-2026-11-14-35632">UMBC @ TOW Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>