UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 32 books
- UMBC +436 (32 consensus books · 32 tracked)
- Market Move
- TOW 85.5% to 85.5% (net flat since open; moved up to 4.3% implied probability intraday)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- UMBC 18.7% · TOW 81.3%
- Consensus Spread
- TOW -10.5
- Consensus Total
- 146.5
- Market-Implied Score
- UMBC 68 – TOW 78.5
Market Brief: UMBC @ TOW Moneyline
UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at UMBC +436 / TOW -436 across 32 consensus sportsbooks (32 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:03 AM ET). Best price per side: UMBC +475 at ProphetX; TOW -520 at ProphetX.
Implied probability is unchanged since open (85.5%) across 33 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
What is the UMBC @ TOW moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at UMBC +436 / TOW -436 across 32 consensus sportsbooks (32 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:03 AM ET). Best price per side: UMBC +475 at ProphetX; TOW -520 at ProphetX.
How has the UMBC @ TOW moneyline moved from open to current?
Implied probability is unchanged since open (85.5%) across 33 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for UMBC @ TOW moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
Why is the UMBC @ TOW moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (3.6% implied probability) toward TOW across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
- Best available partner price toward TOW: DraftKings (-440).
- Market consensus updated (3.7% implied probability) toward UMBC across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
UMBC @ TOW Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 32 sportsbooks, consensus UMBC +436. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: UMBC @ TOW Moneyline
The UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers moneyline opened at 85.5% implied probability for TOW on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET) and currently sits at 85.5% implied probability for TOW across 33 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:03 AM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 10:14 PM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TOW by a median of 3.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers moneyline.
As of Fri, Nov 13, 10:30 PM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price TOW across 3 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at DraftKings (-440).
At Sat, Nov 14, 9:28 AM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UMBC by a median of 3.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers moneyline.
Across the 32 sportsbooks currently quoting the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 32-book consensus prices UMBC at +436 (18.7% vig-free probability) and TOW at -436 (81.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: UMBC +475 at ProphetX; TOW -520 at ProphetX.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/umbc-retrievers-at-towson-tigers-moneyline-2026-11-14-35632" title="UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/umbc-retrievers-at-towson-tigers-moneyline-2026-11-14-35632">UMBC @ TOW Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>