UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 8 books
- 77.5 (4 consensus books · 8 tracked)
- Market Move
- 78.5 to 77.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 60 · At close: 7 · Behind: 65 (132 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- UMBC 18.9% · TOW 81.1%
- Consensus Spread
- TOW -10.5
- Consensus Total
- 145.5
- Market-Implied Score
- UMBC 67.5 – TOW 78
Market Brief: UMBC @ TOW Home Team Total
UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 77.5 -102 / Under 77.5 +102 across 4 consensus sportsbooks (8 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 78.5 -105 at DraftKings; Under 78.5 -125 at DraftKings.
Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 11:00 PM ET), the line moved from 78.5 to 77.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 8 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
What is the UMBC @ TOW home team total consensus line and best price per side?
UMBC Retrievers @ Towson Tigers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 77.5 -102 / Under 77.5 +102 across 4 consensus sportsbooks (8 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 78.5 -105 at DraftKings; Under 78.5 -125 at DraftKings.
How has the UMBC @ TOW home team total moved from open to current?
Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 11:00 PM ET), the line moved from 78.5 to 77.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 8 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for UMBC @ TOW home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
Why is the UMBC @ TOW Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
UMBC @ TOW Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 8 sportsbooks, consensus 77.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: UMBC @ TOW Home Team Total
The UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers Towson Tigers team total opened at 78.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 11:00 PM ET) and currently sits at 77.5 across 8 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 PM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 11:24 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers Towson Tigers team total.
Across the 8 sportsbooks currently quoting the UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers Towson Tigers team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 4-book consensus prices Over at 77.5 -102 (50.5% vig-free probability) and Under at 77.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 78.5 -105 at DraftKings; Under 78.5 -125 at DraftKings.
In the CBB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 60 · At the close: 7 · Behind close: 65 (132 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.0% of moved lines ahead of close (60 Ahead of close · 7 At the close · 65 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Release Record — CBB team totals, last 7 days (Nov 8–Nov 13): 40-26, +26.9u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 48% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/umbc-retrievers-at-towson-tigers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-35632" title="UMBC Retrievers at Towson Tigers Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/umbc-retrievers-at-towson-tigers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-35632">UMBC @ TOW Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>