Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 11 books
- TEX -6.5 (5 consensus books · 11 tracked)
- Market Move
- BAY +4.5 to +5.5 (1.0 pt toward TEX)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 45 · At close: 37 · Behind: 60 (142 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- TEX 65.7% · BAY 34.3%
- Consensus Spread
- BAY +6.5
- Consensus Total
- 160.5
- Market-Implied Score
- TEX 83.5 – BAY 77
Market Brief: TEX @ BAY Spread
Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TEX -6.5 -100 / BAY +6.5 -100 across 5 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 3:02 PM ET). Best price per side: TEX -4.5 -120 at FanDuel; BAY +6.5 -110 at DraftKings.
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), the line moved from TEX -4.5 to TEX -5.5 (1.0 pt) across 12 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET).
What is the TEX @ BAY spread consensus line and best price per side?
Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TEX -6.5 -100 / BAY +6.5 -100 across 5 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 3:02 PM ET). Best price per side: TEX -4.5 -120 at FanDuel; BAY +6.5 -110 at DraftKings.
How has the TEX @ BAY spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), the line moved from TEX -4.5 to TEX -5.5 (1.0 pt) across 12 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for TEX @ BAY spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET).
Why is the TEX @ BAY spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.5 pts toward TEX across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TEX @ BAY Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus TEX -6.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ BAY Spread
The Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears spread opened at BAY +4.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET) and currently sits at BAY +5.5 across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward TEX. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 3:02 PM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 2:59 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TEX by a median of 1.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears spread.
Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 5-book consensus prices TEX at -6.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and BAY at +6.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX -4.5 -120 at FanDuel; BAY +6.5 -110 at DraftKings.
In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 45 · At the close: 37 · Behind close: 60 (142 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 60 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/texas-longhorns-at-baylor-bears-spread-2026-11-15-35056" title="Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/texas-longhorns-at-baylor-bears-spread-2026-11-15-35056">TEX @ BAY Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>