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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LOU (+0.2% implied prob)

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 12 books
LOU -275 (12 consensus books · 12 tracked)
Market Move
MEM 28.6% to 28.4% (0.2% implied probability toward LOU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
LOU 73.4% · MEM 26.6%
Consensus Spread
MEM +7.5
Consensus Total
162.5
Market-Implied Score
LOU 85 – MEM 77.5

Market Brief: LOU @ MEM Moneyline

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at LOU -275 / MEM +275 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:18 PM ET). Best price per side: LOU -335 at FanDuel; MEM +275 at Fanatics.

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 28.6% to 28.4% toward LOU (0.2% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the LOU @ MEM moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at LOU -275 / MEM +275 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:18 PM ET). Best price per side: LOU -335 at FanDuel; MEM +275 at Fanatics.

How has the LOU @ MEM moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 28.6% to 28.4% toward LOU (0.2% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for LOU @ MEM moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the LOU @ MEM moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.5% implied probability) toward LOU across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

LOU
Vig-free consensus -275 (73.4% across 12 books)
Best price: -335 at FanDuel
MEM
Vig-free consensus +275 (26.6% across 12 books)
Best price: +275 at Fanatics

LOU @ MEM Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookLOUMEMExecution
FanDuel-335+265FanDuel
Fanatics-350+275Fanatics
ProphetX-340+255ProphetX

Full market: 12 sportsbooks, consensus LOU -275. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: LOU @ MEM Moneyline

The Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers moneyline opened at 28.6% implied probability for MEM on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 28.4% implied probability for MEM across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward LOU. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:18 PM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 2:14 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LOU by a median of 2.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers moneyline.

Across the 12 sportsbooks currently quoting the Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices LOU at -275 (73.4% vig-free probability) and MEM at +275 (26.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: LOU -335 at FanDuel; MEM +275 at Fanatics.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date43310
Last 30 days43310

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/louisville-cardinals-at-memphis-tigers-moneyline-2026-11-15-35040" title="Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/louisville-cardinals-at-memphis-tigers-moneyline-2026-11-15-35040">LOU @ MEM Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>