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CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Texas State Bobcats @ UTSA Roadrunners Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 25 books
TXST -4.5 (24 consensus books · 25 tracked)
Market Move
UTSA +4.5 to +4.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 2.0 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 45 · At close: 37 · Behind: 60 (142 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
TXST 63.2% · UTSA 36.8%
Consensus Spread
UTSA +4.5
Consensus Total
149.5
Market-Implied Score
TXST 77 – UTSA 72.5

Market Brief: TXST @ UTSA Spread

Texas State Bobcats @ UTSA Roadrunners Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TXST -4.5 +103 / UTSA +4.5 -103 across 24 consensus sportsbooks (25 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET). Best price per side: TXST -4.5 -101 at ProphetX; UTSA +4.5 -109 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (UTSA +4.5) across 25 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the TXST @ UTSA spread consensus line and best price per side?

Texas State Bobcats @ UTSA Roadrunners Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TXST -4.5 +103 / UTSA +4.5 -103 across 24 consensus sportsbooks (25 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET). Best price per side: TXST -4.5 -101 at ProphetX; UTSA +4.5 -109 at ProphetX.

How has the TXST @ UTSA spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (UTSA +4.5) across 25 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for TXST @ UTSA spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the TXST @ UTSA spread moving?

  • Market line moved 2.0 pts toward TXST across 2 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TXST
Vig-free consensus -4.5 +103 (49.4% across 24 books)
Best price: -4.5 -101 at ProphetX
UTSA
Vig-free consensus +4.5 -103 (50.6% across 24 books)
Best price: +4.5 -109 at ProphetX

TXST @ UTSA Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTXSTUTSAExecution
BetMGM-4.5-105+4.5-115BetMGM
Caesars-4.5-110+4.5-110Caesars
DraftKings-4.5-105+4.5-115DraftKings
Fanatics-4.5-110+4.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX-4.5-101+4.5-109ProphetX

Full market: 25 sportsbooks, consensus TXST -4.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TXST @ UTSA Spread

The Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners spread opened at UTSA +4.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 2:45 PM ET) and currently sits at UTSA +4.5 across 25 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 5:29 PM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TXST by a median of 2.0 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners spread.

Across the 25 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 24-book consensus prices TXST at -4.5 +103 (49.4% vig-free probability) and UTSA at +4.5 -103 (50.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TXST -4.5 -101 at ProphetX; UTSA +4.5 -109 at ProphetX.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 45 · At the close: 37 · Behind close: 60 (142 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 60 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date453760142
Last 30 days453760142

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/texas-state-bobcats-at-utsa-roadrunners-spread-2026-11-15-35072" title="Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/texas-state-bobcats-at-utsa-roadrunners-spread-2026-11-15-35072">TXST @ UTSA Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>