Texas State Bobcats @ UTSA Roadrunners Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 22 books
- TXST -171 (22 consensus books · 22 tracked)
- Market Move
- UTSA 36.6% to 39.0% (2.4% implied probability toward UTSA)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- TXST 63.2% · UTSA 36.8%
- Consensus Spread
- UTSA +4.5
- Consensus Total
- 149.5
- Market-Implied Score
- TXST 77 – UTSA 72.5
Market Brief: TXST @ UTSA Moneyline
Texas State Bobcats @ UTSA Roadrunners Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TXST -171 / UTSA +171 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET). Best price per side: TXST -176 at ProphetX; UTSA +165 at Fanatics.
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET), implied probability moved from 36.6% to 39.0% toward UTSA (2.4% implied probability) across 22 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET).
What is the TXST @ UTSA moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Texas State Bobcats @ UTSA Roadrunners Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TXST -171 / UTSA +171 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET). Best price per side: TXST -176 at ProphetX; UTSA +165 at Fanatics.
How has the TXST @ UTSA moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET), implied probability moved from 36.6% to 39.0% toward UTSA (2.4% implied probability) across 22 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for TXST @ UTSA moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET).
Why is the TXST @ UTSA moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward UTSA across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TXST @ UTSA Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus TXST -171. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TXST @ UTSA Moneyline
The Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners moneyline opened at 36.6% implied probability for UTSA on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET) and currently sits at 39.0% implied probability for UTSA across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward UTSA. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 10:30 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UTSA by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners moneyline.
Across the 22 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.6% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 22-book consensus prices TXST at -171 (63.2% vig-free probability) and UTSA at +171 (36.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TXST -176 at ProphetX; UTSA +165 at Fanatics.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/texas-state-bobcats-at-utsa-roadrunners-moneyline-2026-11-15-35072" title="Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/texas-state-bobcats-at-utsa-roadrunners-moneyline-2026-11-15-35072">TXST @ UTSA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>