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CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: SDSU -11.5 → -12.5 (-1.0 pts)

New Mexico State Aggies @ San Diego State Aztecs Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 36 books
NMSU +12.5 (25 consensus books · 36 tracked)
Market Move
SDSU -11.5 to -12.5 (1.0 pt toward SDSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 45 · At close: 37 · Behind: 60 (142 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
NMSU 13.5% · SDSU 86.5%
Consensus Spread
SDSU -12.5
Consensus Total
142.5
Market-Implied Score
NMSU 65 – SDSU 77.5

Market Brief: NMSU @ SDSU Spread

New Mexico State Aggies @ San Diego State Aztecs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at NMSU +12.5 +105 / SDSU -12.5 -105 across 25 consensus sportsbooks (36 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:10 AM ET). Best price per side: NMSU +13 -110 at Caesars; SDSU -12.5 -118 at BetMGM.

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 2:45 PM ET), the line moved from SDSU -11.5 to SDSU -12.5 (1.0 pt) across 36 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET).

What is the NMSU @ SDSU spread consensus line and best price per side?

New Mexico State Aggies @ San Diego State Aztecs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at NMSU +12.5 +105 / SDSU -12.5 -105 across 25 consensus sportsbooks (36 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:10 AM ET). Best price per side: NMSU +13 -110 at Caesars; SDSU -12.5 -118 at BetMGM.

How has the NMSU @ SDSU spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 2:45 PM ET), the line moved from SDSU -11.5 to SDSU -12.5 (1.0 pt) across 36 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for NMSU @ SDSU spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET).

Why is the NMSU @ SDSU spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward SDSU across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NMSU
Vig-free consensus +12.5 +105 (48.7% across 25 books)
Best price: +13 -110 at Caesars
SDSU
Vig-free consensus -12.5 -105 (51.3% across 25 books)
Best price: -12.5 -118 at BetMGM

NMSU @ SDSU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookNMSUSDSUExecution
BetMGM+12.5-102-12.5-118BetMGM
Caesars+13-110-13-110Caesars
DraftKings+12.5-102-12.5-118DraftKings
FanDuel+12.5-102-12.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics+13-115-13-105Fanatics
ProphetX+12.5+103-12.5-123ProphetX

Full market: 36 sportsbooks, consensus NMSU +12.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: NMSU @ SDSU Spread

The New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs spread opened at SDSU -11.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 2:45 PM ET) and currently sits at SDSU -12.5 across 36 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward SDSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:10 AM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 4:58 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SDSU by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs spread.

Across the 36 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 25-book consensus prices NMSU at +12.5 +105 (48.7% vig-free probability) and SDSU at -12.5 -105 (51.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NMSU +13 -110 at Caesars; SDSU -12.5 -118 at BetMGM.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 45 · At the close: 37 · Behind close: 60 (142 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 60 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date453760142
Last 30 days453760142

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/new-mexico-state-aggies-at-san-diego-state-aztecs-spread-2026-11-15-35061" title="New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/new-mexico-state-aggies-at-san-diego-state-aztecs-spread-2026-11-15-35061">NMSU @ SDSU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>