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CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Montana State Bobcats Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 23 books
CP +7.5 (13 consensus books · 23 tracked)
Market Move
MTST -7.5 to -7.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 45 · At close: 37 · Behind: 60 (142 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
CP 28.2% · MTST 71.8%
Consensus Spread
MTST -7.5
Consensus Total
166.5
Market-Implied Score
CP 79.5 – MTST 87

Market Brief: CP @ MTST Spread

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Montana State Bobcats Spread: vig-free consensus stands at CP +7.5 -104 / MTST -7.5 +104 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (23 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:54 PM ET). Best price per side: CP +7.5 -110 at BetMGM; MTST -7.5 -104 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (MTST -7.5) across 23 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ET).

What is the CP @ MTST spread consensus line and best price per side?

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Montana State Bobcats Spread: vig-free consensus stands at CP +7.5 -104 / MTST -7.5 +104 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (23 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:54 PM ET). Best price per side: CP +7.5 -110 at BetMGM; MTST -7.5 -104 at ProphetX.

How has the CP @ MTST spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (MTST -7.5) across 23 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for CP @ MTST spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ET).

Why is the CP @ MTST spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.5 pts toward MTST across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward CP across 7 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

CP
Vig-free consensus +7.5 -104 (51.1% across 13 books)
Best price: +7.5 -110 at BetMGM
MTST
Vig-free consensus -7.5 +104 (48.9% across 13 books)
Best price: -7.5 -104 at ProphetX

CP @ MTST Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCPMTSTExecution
BetMGM+7.5-110-7.5-105BetMGM
Caesars+7.5-110-7.5-110Caesars
DraftKings+7.5-115-7.5-105DraftKings
Fanatics+7.5-115-7.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX+7.5-121-7.5-104ProphetX

Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus CP +7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: CP @ MTST Spread

The Cal Poly Mustangs at Montana State Bobcats spread opened at MTST -7.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 2:45 PM ET) and currently sits at MTST -7.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:54 PM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 2:59 PM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MTST by a median of 1.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cal Poly Mustangs at Montana State Bobcats spread.

At Sat, Nov 14, 11:44 PM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward CP by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cal Poly Mustangs at Montana State Bobcats spread.

Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cal Poly Mustangs at Montana State Bobcats spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 13-book consensus prices CP at +7.5 -104 (51.1% vig-free probability) and MTST at -7.5 +104 (48.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: CP +7.5 -110 at BetMGM; MTST -7.5 -104 at ProphetX.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 45 · At the close: 37 · Behind close: 60 (142 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 60 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date453760142
Last 30 days453760142

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cal Poly Mustangs at Montana State Bobcats (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/cal-poly-mustangs-at-montana-state-bobcats-spread-2026-11-15-35068" title="Cal Poly Mustangs at Montana State Bobcats Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/cal-poly-mustangs-at-montana-state-bobcats-spread-2026-11-15-35068">CP @ MTST Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>