Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- CIN -223 (42 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- DAY 30.3% to 32.3% (2.0% implied probability toward DAY)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- CIN 69.0% · DAY 31.0%
- Consensus Spread
- DAY +5.5
- Consensus Total
- 147.5
- Market-Implied Score
- CIN 76.5 – DAY 71
Market Brief: CIN @ DAY Moneyline
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at CIN -223 / DAY +223 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (42 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:20 AM ET). Best price per side: CIN -230 at FanDuel; DAY +240 at ProphetX.
Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 30.3% to 32.3% toward DAY (2.0% implied probability) across 42 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
What is the CIN @ DAY moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at CIN -223 / DAY +223 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (42 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:20 AM ET). Best price per side: CIN -230 at FanDuel; DAY +240 at ProphetX.
How has the CIN @ DAY moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 30.3% to 32.3% toward DAY (2.0% implied probability) across 42 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for CIN @ DAY moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
Why is the CIN @ DAY moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.5% implied probability) toward DAY across 28 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
CIN @ DAY Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus CIN -223. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: CIN @ DAY Moneyline
The Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers moneyline opened at 30.3% implied probability for DAY on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 32.3% implied probability for DAY across 42 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward DAY. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:20 AM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 11:16 AM ET, 28 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DAY by a median of 2.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers moneyline.
Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 42-book consensus prices CIN at -223 (69.0% vig-free probability) and DAY at +223 (31.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: CIN -230 at FanDuel; DAY +240 at ProphetX.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/cincinnati-bearcats-at-dayton-flyers-moneyline-2026-11-14-34994" title="Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/cincinnati-bearcats-at-dayton-flyers-moneyline-2026-11-14-34994">CIN @ DAY Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>