Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 9 books
- TEX -187 (9 consensus books · 9 tracked)
- Market Move
- BAY 38.3% to 36.9% (1.4% implied probability toward TEX)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- TEX 65.2% · BAY 34.8%
- Consensus Spread
- BAY +4.5
- Consensus Total
- 160.5
- Market-Implied Score
- TEX 82.5 – BAY 78
Market Brief: TEX @ BAY Moneyline
Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX -187 / BAY +187 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:48 PM ET). Best price per side: TEX -200 at Fanatics; BAY +180 at FanDuel.
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 38.3% to 36.9% toward TEX (1.4% implied probability) across 10 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET).
What is the TEX @ BAY moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX -187 / BAY +187 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:48 PM ET). Best price per side: TEX -200 at Fanatics; BAY +180 at FanDuel.
How has the TEX @ BAY moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 38.3% to 36.9% toward TEX (1.4% implied probability) across 10 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for TEX @ BAY moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET).
Why is the TEX @ BAY moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward TEX across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TEX @ BAY Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus TEX -187. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ BAY Moneyline
The Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears moneyline opened at 38.3% implied probability for BAY on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 36.9% implied probability for BAY across 10 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward TEX. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:48 PM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 2:44 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TEX by a median of 2.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears moneyline.
Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices TEX at -187 (65.2% vig-free probability) and BAY at +187 (34.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX -200 at Fanatics; BAY +180 at FanDuel.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/texas-longhorns-at-baylor-bears-moneyline-2026-11-15-35056" title="Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/texas-longhorns-at-baylor-bears-moneyline-2026-11-15-35056">TEX @ BAY Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>