ENES
CBB · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 11 books
70.5 (8 consensus books · 11 tracked)
Market Move
70.5 to 70.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 60 · At close: 7 · Behind: 65 (132 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
CIN 69.2% · DAY 30.8%
Consensus Spread
DAY +6.5
Consensus Total
147.5
Market-Implied Score
CIN 77 – DAY 70.5

Market Brief: CIN @ DAY Home Team Total

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 70.5 -101 / Under 70.5 +101 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:25 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 70.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 70.5 -110 at Caesars.

The line is unchanged since open (70.5) across 11 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the CIN @ DAY home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 70.5 -101 / Under 70.5 +101 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:25 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 70.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 70.5 -110 at Caesars.

How has the CIN @ DAY home team total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (70.5) across 11 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for CIN @ DAY home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the CIN @ DAY Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 70.5 -101 (50.2% across 8 books)
Best price: 70.5 -110 at Caesars
Under
Vig-free consensus 70.5 +101 (49.8% across 8 books)
Best price: 70.5 -110 at Caesars

CIN @ DAY Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM70.5-11570.5-120BetMGM
Caesars70.5-11070.5-110Caesars
DraftKings70.5-11570.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel70.5-11270.5-112FanDuel

Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus 70.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: CIN @ DAY Home Team Total

The Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers Dayton Flyers team total opened at 70.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 7:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 70.5 across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:25 PM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 11:20 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers Dayton Flyers team total.

Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers Dayton Flyers team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices Over at 70.5 -101 (50.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 70.5 +101 (49.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 70.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 70.5 -110 at Caesars.

In the CBB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 60 · At the close: 7 · Behind close: 65 (132 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.0% of moved lines ahead of close (60 Ahead of close · 7 At the close · 65 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

Release Record — CBB team totals, last 7 days (Nov 8–Nov 13): 40-26, +26.9u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date60765132
Last 30 days60765132

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 48% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/cincinnati-bearcats-at-dayton-flyers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-34994" title="Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/cincinnati-bearcats-at-dayton-flyers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-34994">CIN @ DAY Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>