Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 20 books
- CIN -2.5 (7 consensus books · 20 tracked)
- Market Move
- DAY +3.5 to +3 (0.5 pts toward DAY)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 13 · At close: 1 · Behind: 7 (21 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- CIN 68.5% · DAY 31.5%
- Consensus Spread
- DAY +5.5
- Consensus Total
- 147.5
- Market-Implied Score
- CIN 76.5 – DAY 71
Market Brief: CIN @ DAY 1st Half Spread
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at CIN -2.5 -107 / DAY +2.5 +107 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (20 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:39 AM ET). Best price per side: CIN -2.5 -120 at BetMGM; DAY +3.5 -120 at FanDuel.
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 8:04 AM ET), the line moved from DAY +3.5 to DAY +3 (0.5 pts) across 20 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
What is the CIN @ DAY 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Dayton Flyers 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at CIN -2.5 -107 / DAY +2.5 +107 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (20 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:39 AM ET). Best price per side: CIN -2.5 -120 at BetMGM; DAY +3.5 -120 at FanDuel.
How has the CIN @ DAY 1st half spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 8:04 AM ET), the line moved from DAY +3.5 to DAY +3 (0.5 pts) across 20 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for CIN @ DAY 1st half spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
Why is the CIN @ DAY 1st Half Spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward DAY across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
- Best available partner price toward DAY +3.5: BetMGM (-115).
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
CIN @ DAY 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 20 sportsbooks, consensus CIN -2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: CIN @ DAY 1st Half Spread
The Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers first-half spread opened at DAY +3.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 8:04 AM ET) and currently sits at DAY +3 across 20 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward DAY. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 11:39 AM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 11:15 AM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DAY by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers first-half spread.
As of Sat, Nov 14, 11:18 AM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price DAY at +3.5 across 3 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at BetMGM (-115).
Across the 20 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices CIN at -2.5 -107 (51.7% vig-free probability) and DAY at +2.5 +107 (48.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: CIN -2.5 -120 at BetMGM; DAY +3.5 -120 at FanDuel.
In the CBB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 13 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 7 (21 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 65.0% of moved lines ahead of close (13 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 7 Behind close) · Nov 3–Nov 13
Release Record — CBB first-half spreads, last 14 days (Nov 3–Nov 13): 13-8, +13.5u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 65% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/cincinnati-bearcats-at-dayton-flyers-1h-spread-2026-11-14-34994" title="Cincinnati Bearcats at Dayton Flyers 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/cincinnati-bearcats-at-dayton-flyers-1h-spread-2026-11-14-34994">CIN @ DAY 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>