South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- USA +5.5 (8 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- UNT -4.5 to -5 (0.5 pts toward UNT)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 13 · At close: 1 · Behind: 7 (21 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- USA 21.7% · UNT 78.3%
- Consensus Spread
- UNT -8.5
- Consensus Total
- 133.5
- Market-Implied Score
- USA 62.5 – UNT 71
Market Brief: USA @ UNT 1st Half Spread
South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USA +5.5 -106 / UNT -5.5 +106 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET). Best price per side: USA +5.5 -118 at FanDuel; UNT -5 -110 at Caesars.
Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET), the line moved from UNT -4.5 to UNT -5 (0.5 pts) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).
What is the USA @ UNT 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?
South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USA +5.5 -106 / UNT -5.5 +106 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET). Best price per side: USA +5.5 -118 at FanDuel; UNT -5 -110 at Caesars.
How has the USA @ UNT 1st half spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET), the line moved from UNT -4.5 to UNT -5 (0.5 pts) across 21 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for USA @ UNT 1st half spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).
Why is the USA @ UNT 1st Half Spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward UNT across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward UNT across 15 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
USA @ UNT 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus USA +5.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: USA @ UNT 1st Half Spread
The South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green first-half spread opened at UNT -4.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET) and currently sits at UNT -5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward UNT. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UNT by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green first-half spread.
As of Sat, Nov 14, 3:08 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.3% toward UNT across 15 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices USA at +5.5 -106 (51.5% vig-free probability) and UNT at -5.5 +106 (48.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +5.5 -118 at FanDuel; UNT -5 -110 at Caesars.
In the CBB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 13 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 7 (21 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 65.0% of moved lines ahead of close (13 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 7 Behind close) · Nov 3–Nov 13
Release Record — CBB first-half spreads, last 14 days (Nov 3–Nov 13): 13-8, +13.5u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 65% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-north-texas-mean-green-1h-spread-2026-11-14-34976" title="South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-north-texas-mean-green-1h-spread-2026-11-14-34976">USA @ UNT 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>