How we grade picks

Every pick is graded once, at the final, by the official result of the game. A pick is a win, a loss or a push. A push is a line the result lands on exactly; it is neither a win nor a loss.

A pick is graded at the price and the line we released it at, the number shown when it posted, not a better number found later. Each graded pick shows the price it was released at.

Every graded pick stays on the record, wins and losses alike; nothing is removed.

The orange number on each pick is its Signal strength. A higher number is a stronger pick, and Signal strength sets the size of the play in units.

A team page prints our record and lists our graded picks on that team’s games only when we are at 60% or better with at least five graded picks. Below that, the page shows how we work instead.

CLV, closing line value, compares the price we released a pick at with the closing price for the same market at the same sportsbook. If we released a spread at +3 and that sportsbook closed it at +2, the pick beat the close by one point. On a price, we show the difference as a percentage.

We show a CLV label on a graded pick when the close moved toward our side. CLV is a measure of the number we got, separate from the result: a pick can beat the close and still lose.

When we get something wrong on a graded pick, such as a market label, a line or a result, we correct it and keep a dated note beside the pick saying what changed. A correction never deletes a pick.

If you see something that looks wrong, write to helpdesk@wagerbird.com with the team and the date. We read every message.

Questions about a grade, a record or this page: helpdesk@wagerbird.com.