NHL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: WAS (+3.0% implied prob)

Why is the WAS @ OTT 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (ET)

WAGERBIRD Signal Status
- No Release (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 18 books
WAS +103 (18 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
OTT 56.5% to 53.5% (3.0% implied probability toward WAS)
Lane CLV record
NHL first-period moneylines: 2 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (3 measured)

Market Brief: WAS @ OTT 1st Quarter Moneyline

Washington Capitals @ Ottawa Senators 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at WAS +103 / OTT -103 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 4:30 PM ET). Best price per side: WAS -106 at Caesars; OTT -110 at BetMGM.

Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 11:23 AM ET), implied probability moved from 56.5% to 53.5% toward WAS (3.0% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the WAS @ OTT 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Washington Capitals @ Ottawa Senators 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at WAS +103 / OTT -103 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 4:30 PM ET). Best price per side: WAS -106 at Caesars; OTT -110 at BetMGM.

How has the WAS @ OTT 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 11:23 AM ET), implied probability moved from 56.5% to 53.5% toward WAS (3.0% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for WAS @ OTT 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the WAS @ OTT 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward OTT across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward WAS across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WAS
Vig-free consensus +103 (49.2% across 18 books)
Best price: -106 at Caesars
OTT
Vig-free consensus -103 (50.8% across 18 books)
Best price: -110 at BetMGM

WAS @ OTT 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookWASOTTExecution
BetMGM-115-110BetMGM
Caesars-106-112Caesars
DraftKings-115-120DraftKings
FanDuel-112-112FanDuel

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus WAS +103. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OTT 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators first-period moneyline opened at 56.5% implied probability for OTT on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 11:23 AM ET) and currently sits at 53.5% implied probability for OTT across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward WAS. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 4:30 PM ET.

At Mon, Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward OTT by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators first-period moneyline.

At Tue, Nov 10, 4:52 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward WAS by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators first-period moneyline.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices WAS at +103 (49.2% vig-free probability) and OTT at -103 (50.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAS -106 at Caesars; OTT -110 at BetMGM.

In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, WAGERBIRD's released positions have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasured
Season to date2103
Last 30 days0000

WAGERBIRD measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each release's line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the release was posted (settled releases through 2026-11-09).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/washington-capitals-at-ottawa-senators-1q-moneyline-2026-11-10-34659" title="Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/washington-capitals-at-ottawa-senators-1q-moneyline-2026-11-10-34659">WAS @ OTT 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>