Jakob Chychrun (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), Jakob Chychrun's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Jakob Chychrun)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF @ WAS | 2.5 (-110) | — | 4 | Over | |
| PHI @ WAS | 2.5 (-110) | 0.0 | 1 | Under | |
| WAS @ NAS | 2.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 5 | Over | |
| MIN @ WAS | 2.5 (-110) | 0.0 | 4 | Over | |
| DAL @ WAS | 2.5 (+111) | 0.0 | 5 | Over | |
| FLA @ WAS | 2.5 (+100) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jakob Chychrun Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +1.3 vs. 0.0 book step adjustment (+1.3 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 3.8
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 · vs BUF | 2.5 | — | 4 | +1.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs PHI | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ NAS | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Nov 1 · vs MIN | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nov 3 · vs DAL | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs FLA | 2.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Jakob Chychrun Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 2 Lost)
0 Beat / 0 Tied / 2 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled Jakob Chychrun prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | PHI @ WAS | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-120) · Fanatics | 2.5 | 1 | Lost | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 17 | NJ @ WAS | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-120) · FanDuel | 2.5 | 1 | Lost | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Jakob Chychrun Prop Write-Ups
Chychrun's substantial minutes and first-unit power-play assignment sustain a shooting workload above the posted threshold.
Counter-Case: Point attempts can be blocked before reaching the net, while a teammate's redirection can take the registered shot away from him. The forwards may finish possessions before the puck returns to the blue line. A comfortable lead can reduce the need for repeated attacking-zone pressure.
Chychrun's heavy workload and first-unit power-play role sustain a three-shot route despite New Jersey's suppression.
Counter-Case: New Jersey can deny clean entries and get bodies into Chychrun's first shooting lane. Washington's power play can also finish through its forwards before he produces enough shots himself.
Jakob Chychrun WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | PHI @ WAS | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | NJ @ WAS | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 | Lost |
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |