NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: WASPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Alex Ovechkin (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 20 to Nov 7), Alex Ovechkin's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Oct 20LA @ WASOct 24BUF @ WASOct 28PHI @ WASOct 29WAS @ NASNov 1MIN @ WASNov 7FLA @ WAS

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 20 to Nov 7), Alex Ovechkin's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Alex Ovechkin)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
LA @ WAS2.5 (-105)—2Under
BUF @ WAS2.5 (+110)0.01Under
PHI @ WAS2.5 (+135)0.02Under
WAS @ NAS2.5 (+122)0.03Over
MIN @ WAS2.5 (+130)0.02Under
FLA @ WAS2.5 (+145)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Alex Ovechkin Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.5).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.5Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.0
Actual Output Delta
-0.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Alex Ovechkin Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output401Oct 24vs BUF2Oct 28vs PHI3Oct 29@ NAS2Nov 1vs MIN2Nov 3vs DALNov 7vs FLA
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 24 · vs BUF2.5—1-1.5
Oct 28 · vs PHI2.50.02-0.5
Oct 29 · @ NAS2.50.03+0.5
Nov 1 · vs MIN2.50.02-0.5
Nov 3 · vs DAL——2—
Nov 7 · vs FLA2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Alex Ovechkin Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Alex Ovechkin.

Alex Ovechkin CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Alex Ovechkin.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921