NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: WASPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Alex Tuch (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Alex Tuch Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Wed, Oct 28, 6:30 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:58 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Alex Tuch Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), Alex Tuch's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Alex Tuch)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 24	BUF @ WAS	2.5 (+120)	—	3	Over
Oct 28	PHI @ WAS	2.5 (+106)	0.0	5	Over
Oct 29	WAS @ NAS	2.5 (+100)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 1	MIN @ WAS	2.5 (+120)	0.0	4	Over
Nov 3	DAL @ WAS	2.5 (+136)	0.0	2	Under
Nov 7	FLA @ WAS	2.5 (+130)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Alex Tuch Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.5).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.5Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 2.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 3.0
Actual Output Delta: +0.5
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 24 · vs BUF	2.5	—	3	+0.5
Oct 28 · vs PHI	2.5	0.0	5	+2.5
Oct 29 · @ NAS	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Nov 1 · vs MIN	2.5	0.0	4	+1.5
Nov 3 · vs DAL	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Nov 7 · vs FLA	2.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Alex Tuch Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Alex Tuch prop write-up.

Alex Tuch CLV Counts

1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 28	PHI @ WAS	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5 (+125) · FanDuel	2.5	5	Beat	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Alex Tuch Prop Write-Ups

Oct 28 CT · PHI @ WAS · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Tuch's current shooting workload and substantial ice time put the required third shot within his ordinary range of outcomes.

Counter-Case: Strome and Kyrou can consume the available attempts before Tuch gets a finishing touch. The second power-play group may receive little time behind the first unit. Quick finishes by teammates can also eliminate rebound opportunities that would otherwise add to his shot count.

Alex Tuch WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 28	PHI @ WAS	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5	2.5	5	Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21