Adrian Kempe · Shots on Goal
- Pick & Line
- Over 2.5
- Fair Value
- 3.4 (-194)
- Book
- FanDuel (-150)
Kempe’s sustained shooting rate and first-unit power-play access support three shots without requiring another scoring outburst.
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 3-120 | 3-115 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 3.5+124 | 3.5-173 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 3.5+130 | 3.5-170 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 3.5+138 | 3.5-176 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 2.5-180 | 2.5+135 | Fanatics |
Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus 3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Pittsburgh Penguins team total opened at 2.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 10:39 AM CT) and currently sits at 3 across 13 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 1:24 PM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Pittsburgh Penguins team total.
Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Pittsburgh Penguins team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 6-book consensus prices Over at 3.5 +148 (40.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 3.5 -148 (59.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 2.5 -180 at Fanatics; Under 3.5 -170 at DraftKings.
In the NHL team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 28 times, tied 3, and lost 16 season to date (47 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 28 | 3 | 16 | 47 | 63.6% |
| Last 30 days | 21 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 61.8% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings (Away Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/pittsburgh-penguins-at-los-angeles-kings-away-team-total-2026-11-07-34207" title="Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/pittsburgh-penguins-at-los-angeles-kings-away-team-total-2026-11-07-34207">PIT @ LA Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Pittsburgh Penguins's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+16.1 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 19.3 vs. 3.3 Posted Team Total)
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0 | 57.0% | 19.3 | 3.3 (+138) | +16.1 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Rickard Rakell PIT · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 14.7% | 76.9%(+62.2% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Sidney Crosby PIT · Prev 2.5 (0.0) |
+16.1 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 19.3 vs. 3.3 Posted Team Total)
+15.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 18.7 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Los Angeles Kings's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+15.2 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 18.7 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)
| 2.5 |
| 5.5% |
| 76.9%(+71.4% vs Hist) |
| 0.0 |
| Steady Share |
#3 Kris Letang PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 8.3% | 46.2%(+37.9% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#4 Tommy Novak PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 10.1% | 46.2%(+36.1% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#5 Ben Kindel PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 9.2% | 46.2%(+37.0% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#6 Evgeni Malkin PIT · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 9.2% | 46.2%(+37.0% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0 | 69.7% | 18.7 | 3.5 (+127) | +15.2 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Artemi Panarin LA · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 14.1% | 71.4%(+57.3% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Alex Laferriere LA · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 15.6% | 71.4%(+55.8% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#3 Adrian Kempe LA · Prev 3.5 (-1.0) | 2.5 | 16.3% | 71.4%(+55.1% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#4 Quinton Byfield LA · Prev 2.5 (0.0) | 2.5 | 12.6% | 71.4%(+58.8% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Steady Share | |
#5 Brandt Clarke LA · Prev 1.5 (0.0) | 1.5 | 3.0% | 42.9%(+39.9% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share | |
#6 Trevor Moore LA · Prev 2.5 (-1.0) | 1.5 | 8.1% | 42.9%(+34.8% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift |
Kempe’s sustained shooting rate and first-unit power-play access support three shots without requiring another scoring outburst.