Why is the TB @ CHI spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- TB +6 (25 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- CHI -6 to -6 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL spreads: 8 Beat / 3 Tied / 8 Lost (19 measured)
Why is the TB @ CHI spread moving?
- Market consensus moved from -8 to -6.5 toward TB across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TB @ CHI Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | TB | CHI | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6-108 | -6-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +6-106 | -6-114 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +6-110 | -6-110 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +6.5-115 | -6.5-105 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +6-110 | -6-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +6.5-113 | -6.5+108 | ProphetX |
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus TB +6. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TB @ CHI Spread
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears spread opened at CHI -6 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 10:31 PM CT) and currently sits at CHI -6 across 42 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 7:20 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 12:59 PM CT, the market consensus moved through 7, shifting from -8 to -6.5 toward TB. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 7 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 25-book consensus prices TB at +6 -100 (50.1% vig-free probability) and CHI at -6 +100 (49.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TB +6.5 -113 at ProphetX; CHI -6 -110 at BetMGM.
In the NFL spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 8 times, tied 3, and lost 8 season to date (19 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (8 Beat, 3 Tied, 8 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 8 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 50.0% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 46.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-chicago-bears-spread-2026-11-08-34422" title="Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-chicago-bears-spread-2026-11-08-34422">TB @ CHI Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>