Why is the NYJ @ KC spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- NYJ +9.5 (27 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- KC -9.5 to -9.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL spreads: 8 Beat / 3 Tied / 8 Lost (19 measured)
Why is the NYJ @ KC spread moving?
- Market consensus moved from -9.5 to -10 toward KC across 10 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NYJ @ KC Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | NYJ | KC | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +9.5-108 | -9.5-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +9.5-109 | -9.5-110 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +9.5-105 | -9.5-115 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +9-110 | -9-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +9.5-105 | -9.5+102 | ProphetX |
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus NYJ +9.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: NYJ @ KC Spread
The New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs spread opened at KC -9.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:00 PM CT) and currently sits at KC -9.5 across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 1:36 AM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 11:53 PM CT, the market consensus moved through 10, shifting from -9.5 to -10 toward KC. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 10 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 27-book consensus prices NYJ at +9.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and KC at -9.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NYJ +9.5 -105 at DraftKings; KC -9 -110 at Fanatics.
In the NFL spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 8 times, tied 3, and lost 8 season to date (19 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (8 Beat, 3 Tied, 8 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 8 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 50.0% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 46.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/new-york-jets-at-kansas-city-chiefs-spread-2026-11-08-34261" title="New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/new-york-jets-at-kansas-city-chiefs-spread-2026-11-08-34261">NYJ @ KC Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>