Why is the GB @ NE 1st Half Spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 24 books
- GB +1.5 (16 consensus books · 24 tracked)
- Market Move
- NE -1.5 to -1.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL first-half spreads: 4 Beat / 0 Tied / 2 Lost (6 measured)
Why is the GB @ NE 1st Half Spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward NE across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
GB @ NE 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | GB | NE | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +2.5-108 | -2.5-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +2.5-106 | -2.5-114 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +2.5-108 | -2.5-112 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +1.5-110 | -1.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +1.5-105 | -1.5-115 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +2.5-104 | -2.5-102 | ProphetX |
Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus GB +1.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: GB @ NE 1st Half Spread
The Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-half spread opened at NE -1.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:15 PM CT) and currently sits at NE -1.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 8:48 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 7:39 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NE by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-half spread.
Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices GB at +1.5 +101 (49.6% vig-free probability) and NE at -1.5 -101 (50.4% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: GB +2.5 -104 at ProphetX; NE -1.5 -110 at FanDuel.
In the NFL first-half spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 4 times, tied 0, and lost 2 season to date (6 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (4 Beat, 0 Tied, 2 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Last 30 days | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (1st Half Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-1h-spread-2026-11-08-34264" title="Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-1h-spread-2026-11-08-34264">GB @ NE 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>