NFL · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Over 49.5 → 50.5 (+1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the DET @ MIA total moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 45 books
50.5 (24 consensus books · 45 tracked)
Market Move
49.5 to 50.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane CLV record
NFL game totals: 13 Beat / 1 Tied / 4 Lost (18 measured)

Why is the DET @ MIA total moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward Over across 12 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 50.5 +101 (49.7% across 24 books)
Best price: 50 -110 at Fanatics
Under
Vig-free consensus 50.5 -101 (50.3% across 24 books)
Best price: 50.5 -106 at ProphetX

DET @ MIA Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM50.5-10850.5-110BetMGM
Caesars50.5-11250.5-108Caesars
DraftKings50.5-11050.5-110DraftKings
FanDuel50.5-11050.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics50-11050-110Fanatics
ProphetX50.5+10250.5-106ProphetX

Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus 50.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: DET @ MIA Total

The Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins total opened at 49.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:30 PM CT) and currently sits at 50.5 across 45 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 9:40 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 8:42 AM CT, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins total.

Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 24-book consensus prices Over at 50.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability) and Under at 50.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 50 -110 at Fanatics; Under 50.5 -106 at ProphetX.

In the NFL game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 13 times, tied 1, and lost 4 season to date (18 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (13 Beat, 1 Tied, 4 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date13141876.5%
Last 30 days12131680.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/detroit-lions-at-miami-dolphins-total-2026-11-08-34267" title="Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/detroit-lions-at-miami-dolphins-total-2026-11-08-34267">DET @ MIA Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>